Finished: 02 PM Thu 06 Apr 23 UTC
Pot:
30 
-
Autumn, 2008,
Finished4 excused NMR / regain after 5 turn(s) / extend always
| Player |
Rating |
Status |
Re Ø |
Rr Ø |
Ch |
| Model |
1165 -> 1251 |
Won (18 SC) |
38% |
100% |
86 |
| MiraiNikkiSan |
1520 -> 1527 |
Survived (8 SC) |
60% |
75% |
7 |
| Strider |
1717 -> 1718 |
Survived (8 SC) |
71% |
75% |
1 |
| Cosmopterix |
1549 -> 1517 |
Survived |
61% |
17% |
-32 |
| MagicalSand |
1311 -> 1288 |
Defeated |
46% |
17% |
-23 |
| W_augy |
965 -> 954 |
Defeated |
26% |
17% |
-11 |
| KBan |
1334 -> 1305 |
CD |
48% |
0% |
-29 |
| Model (Won / 18SCs / 1165->1251) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8 SC ) |
31% |
100% |
69% |
28% |
61.12 |
11.78 |
| Strider (Survived / 8 SC ) |
22% |
100% |
78% |
29% |
61.12 |
14.04 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived) |
29% |
100% |
71% |
53% |
61.12 |
22.9 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated) |
42% |
100% |
58% |
53% |
61.12 |
18.87 |
| W_augy (Defeated) |
61% |
100% |
39% |
53% |
61.12 |
12.52 |
| KBan (CD) |
40% |
100% |
60% |
17% |
61.12 |
6.07 |
|
86 |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8SCs / 1520->1527) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| Model (Won / 18 SC ) |
69% |
0% |
-69% |
28% |
61.12 |
-11.78 |
| Strider (Survived / 8 SC ) |
39% |
50% |
11% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived) |
48% |
100% |
52% |
22% |
61.12 |
7.02 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated) |
62% |
100% |
38% |
22% |
61.12 |
5.19 |
| W_augy (Defeated) |
78% |
100% |
22% |
22% |
61.12 |
2.96 |
| KBan (CD) |
61% |
100% |
39% |
16% |
61.12 |
3.8 |
|
7 |
| Strider (Survived / 8SCs / 1717->1718) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| Model (Won / 18 SC ) |
78% |
0% |
-78% |
29% |
61.12 |
-14.04 |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8 SC ) |
61% |
50% |
-11% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived) |
60% |
100% |
40% |
24% |
61.12 |
5.82 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated) |
72% |
100% |
28% |
24% |
61.12 |
4.05 |
| W_augy (Defeated) |
85% |
100% |
15% |
24% |
61.12 |
2.16 |
| KBan (CD) |
71% |
100% |
29% |
17% |
61.12 |
2.98 |
|
1 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived / 0SCs / 1549->1517) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| Model (Won / 18 SC ) |
71% |
0% |
-71% |
53% |
61.12 |
-22.9 |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8 SC ) |
52% |
0% |
-52% |
22% |
61.12 |
-7.02 |
| Strider (Survived / 8 SC ) |
40% |
0% |
-40% |
24% |
61.12 |
-5.82 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated) |
63% |
0% |
-63% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| W_augy (Defeated) |
79% |
0% |
-79% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| KBan (CD) |
62% |
100% |
38% |
17% |
61.12 |
3.86 |
|
-32 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated / 0SCs / 1311->1288) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| Model (Won / 18 SC ) |
58% |
0% |
-58% |
53% |
61.12 |
-18.87 |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8 SC ) |
38% |
0% |
-38% |
22% |
61.12 |
-5.19 |
| Strider (Survived / 8 SC ) |
28% |
0% |
-28% |
24% |
61.12 |
-4.05 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived) |
37% |
0% |
-37% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| W_augy (Defeated) |
69% |
0% |
-69% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| KBan (CD) |
49% |
100% |
51% |
17% |
61.12 |
5.23 |
|
-23 |
| W_augy (Defeated / 0SCs / 965->955) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| Model (Won / 18 SC ) |
39% |
0% |
-39% |
53% |
61.12 |
-12.52 |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8 SC ) |
22% |
0% |
-22% |
22% |
61.12 |
-2.96 |
| Strider (Survived / 8 SC ) |
15% |
0% |
-15% |
24% |
61.12 |
-2.16 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived) |
21% |
0% |
-21% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated) |
31% |
0% |
-31% |
0% |
61.12 |
0 |
| KBan (CD) |
30% |
100% |
70% |
17% |
61.12 |
7.14 |
|
-11 |
| KBan (CD / 0SCs / 1334->1305) |
Re |
Rr |
Dif |
mV |
gV |
Ch |
| Model (Won / 18 SC ) |
60% |
0% |
-60% |
17% |
61.12 |
-6.07 |
| MiraiNikkiSan (Survived / 8 SC ) |
39% |
0% |
-39% |
16% |
61.12 |
-3.8 |
| Strider (Survived / 8 SC ) |
29% |
0% |
-29% |
17% |
61.12 |
-2.98 |
| Cosmopterix (Survived) |
38% |
0% |
-38% |
17% |
61.12 |
-3.86 |
| MagicalSand (Defeated) |
51% |
0% |
-51% |
17% |
61.12 |
-5.23 |
| W_augy (Defeated) |
70% |
0% |
-70% |
17% |
61.12 |
-7.14 |
|
-29 |
Legend:
- Re: Expected result (0%: Weaker performance, 100%: Stronger performance)
- Rr: Real result
- mV: Match value (weight reflecting the relative SC difference in won PPSC games; reflects different winning expectations in case of take-overs)
- gV: Game value (0-100; higher for larger variants; includes modifier that may be applied by moderators; for alternate winning conditions: reduced if original SC count of variant not reached by winner)
- Ch: Change of rating: (Rr - Re) * mV * gV (loss prevention, i.e. no negative changes, in case of take-over or if applied by moderators)
